Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Calculating ARR and Payback period

Your firm is considering two projects with the following cashflow:

YearProject AProject B
0-500-500
1167200
2180250
3160170
410025
510030


Assumption: Straight line depreciation is used = (Initial Investment - residual value) / n = (500 - 0)/5 = 100

Project AProject B
Nominator
Average profits before depreciation(167+180+160+100+100)/5
= 707/5 = 141.4
(200+250+170+25+30)/5
= 675/5 = 135
Average annual profit after depreciation141.4 - 100 = 41.4135 - 100 = 35
Denominator
Average Investment500/2 = 250500/2 = 250
Annual Rate of Return (ARR)41.4 / 250 * 100 = 16.56%35/250 *100 = 14%


If the company's ARR target was set at 20%, then both projects will be rejected.
If the company's ARR target was set at 15%, then project A will be accepted and project B will be rejected.
If the company's ARR target was set at 10%, then the project with the highest ARR will be selected, thus project A will be selected.

YearProject ACumulative CFProject BCumulative CF
0-500-500-500-500
1167-333200-300
2180-153250-50
31607170120<------ Break even point
410010725145
510020730175


Payback period / Break even point
Project A2 years11.475months
Project B2 years3.53months


If the company's payback target was 2 years, then both projects will be rejected.
If the company's payback target was 2.5 years, Project B will be selected and Project A will be rejected.
If the company's payback target was 3 years, the project with the shortest payback period will be selected, thus Project B will be selected.

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